Mark,
I agree, I have seen some whoppers as far as making good choices in where to run. There's another thing-- runners like to expand to fill up whatever road width is available, whether or not they're getting a distance advantage.
At the Army 10-miler a couple years ago we had a situation where the middle of 3 lanes was blocked due to construction but the outer 2 lanes were open. I made a project of trying to encourage runners to go into the left side as well as the right because, considering the entire set of curves they were heading into, both sides were about equal in length. I must report that my efforts were next to useless. From their point of view it looked shorter to go to the right side, and besides the people in front seemed to go to the right side. At that point folks could not see that 300 yards ahead there was a huge traffic jam of runners on that side and I began to feel like the King of England in the story (King Canute?) who tried to command the seas not to rise any farther.
Here's part of what happened in that race: frustrated runners, slowed to a walk in the lane they had chosen, just broke right into the middle lane, hopping over rebars, dodging around backhoes, and somehow surviving this adventure (at least no reports of hospital trips by any runners).
The one exception to the pattern of not following spr too closely is this: on occasions where I've acted as lead biker, elite runners notice right away that I'm showing them a good route to run and they buy it immediately. Maybe an argument for that blue line like they've used in London and other places.