Running Performance Predictor
In 1981 I wrote a paper called “Athletic Records and Human Endurance.” It was published in American Scientist. I had around 200 requests for reprints from people all over the world, mostly via postcards. It contained an equation which I called the “endurance equation” which could be used to roughly predict potential finish time at a distance based on past performance at another distance.
Now, after a quarter-century hiatus, interest seems to have revived. Herman Nieuwendaal has taken the thing forward into the computer age and has produced a very nice web page which may be of interest to prediction aficionados.
You can find it at:
http://www.electricblues.com/runpro.html
The original "Athletic Records and Human Endurance" may be found at:
ARHE
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